Thursday, August 27, 2009

Morning/Afternoon Tropical Update

Image Credit: National Hurricane Center


11 AM EST NHC Update:
Location: 27.5 North Latitude, 73.1 West Longitude.
Maximum Sustained Winds: 60 mph.
Movement: Northwest 13 mph.
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 mb

Tropical Storm Danny continues to look disorganized this morning. The center continues to be exposed with the heaviest thunderstorms being several hundred miles east of the center. Despite its disorganization, Danny continues to generate strong winds, with the Hurricane Hunters reporting winds in the 55 - 60 mph range early this morning. Conditions around Danny should get a bit better between today and Friday for Danny to gain Cat.1 strength. A landfall in Cape Cod, eastern Maine, or Nova Scotia with 55 - 75 mph winds is a good bet. Currently, Cape Hatteras and Morehead City are out of the cone, but close enough offshore to keep monitoring Danny very closely. Farther north, Cape Cod and surrounding areas should also monitor Danny closely as he will be passing by on Saturday afternoon and a direct hit cannot be ruled out. On the current track, a direct hit is expected in Nova Scotia later in the forecast.

Please stay tuned to the blog for further details, but most importantly, follow the advice of your local meteorologists.

Invest 92L was born yesterday out of the blob in the picture I sent yesterday morning. Currently, the NHC gives the tropical wave a less than 30% chance of tropical development within the next 48 hours. At this moment nothing else can be said about the strong tropical wave because it is far out in the Atlantic Ocean.

My next update will be tomorrow morning.

Have a great day !!

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