see what happens with Erika. Some models say Erika will be a Cat. 3
hurricane while others have it as a weak tropical storm. Others want to
take her through Puerto Rico and back out to the ocean. Which one is
correct? The NHC track of Erika has been shifting to the left since
yesterday's 5 pm advisory. The Hurricane Hunters are currently flying
through Erika and have found winds up to 50 mph. I believe that the NHC
will upgrade Erika to 45-50 mph based on that data. She is struggling to
survive and putting up a good fight. Shear is trying to kill her, but
not yet. In the last few hours it seems that thunderstorms are trying
again to get organized around the center. I have read that made the
center will be moved down and to the right of where it is now. That is
one of the reasons why Erika has weakened - she has multiple centers. It
seems that maybe the one SE is the more dominant one. Time will tell. I
will send out another update later tonight if needed. If not, expect one
at about the same time as today.
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